Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.055578 0.065855 0.077386 0.091265 0.107503 0.125883 0.148251
2025-04-27 0.040123 0.053432 0.070066 0.092311 0.121208 0.157396 0.206070
2025-05-04 0.031028 0.045289 0.064677 0.092811 0.132414 0.185971 0.263660
2025-05-11 0.025335 0.039917 0.061177 0.094171 0.143774 0.215179 0.325277
2025-05-18 0.021740 0.036602 0.059619 0.097466 0.157650 0.249010 0.397335
2025-05-25 0.017699 0.031687 0.054592 0.094311 0.160799 0.266717 0.446905
2025-06-01 0.015117 0.028620 0.051879 0.094189 0.168359 0.291722 0.510507
2025-06-08 0.012871 0.025686 0.048830 0.092865 0.173443 0.312933 0.570016
2025-06-15 0.011532 0.024156 0.047967 0.095160 0.184952 0.346119 0.653643
2025-06-22 0.009996 0.021952 0.045477 0.093991 0.189844 0.367995 0.719443
2025-06-29 0.008579 0.019724 0.042571 0.091526 0.191818 0.384548 0.777054
2025-07-06 0.007337 0.017638 0.039609 0.088460 0.192093 0.397726 0.829460
2025-07-13 0.006657 0.016699 0.038944 0.090177 0.202511 0.432257 0.928657
2025-07-20 0.005978 0.015643 0.037869 0.090862 0.210894 0.463763 1.025660
2025-07-27 0.005369 0.014642 0.036755 0.091282 0.218720 0.494968 1.125576
2025-08-03 0.004894 0.013885 0.036084 0.092605 0.228707 0.531832 1.241665
2025-08-10 0.004580 0.013487 0.036212 0.095844 0.243506 0.580803 1.389662
2025-08-17 0.003978 0.012195 0.033906 0.092738 0.242821 0.594976 1.461003
2025-08-24 0.003593 0.011434 0.032843 0.092619 0.249376 0.626448 1.575576
2025-08-31 0.003204 0.010587 0.031412 0.091316 0.252770 0.650808 1.675988
2025-09-07 0.002996 0.010244 0.031311 0.093574 0.265617 0.699321 1.839827
2025-09-14 0.002689 0.009532 0.030048 0.092424 0.269298 0.725617 1.951710
2025-09-21 0.002378 0.008739 0.028424 0.089998 0.269192 0.742328 2.041251